Florida Prediction Markets & 2026 Odds
Florida prediction markets in one catalog: contracts on the state's November elections and on its professional and college clubs, each opening a page on the question it asks and how it settles.
Sports
13 markets13 marketsSee all 13 sports →Florida Super Bowl Odds 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars6th of 327%+1329
Tampa Bay Buccaneers23rd of 321%+19900
Miami Dolphins31st of 32<1%+49900Florida World Series Odds 2026
Tampa Bay Rays2nd of 30up 7 points over 24h23%+335
Miami Marlins19th of 300%—Florida NBA Finals Odds 2027
Miami Heat7th of 30down 1 points over 24h4%+2400
Orlando Magic18th of 301%+11011| Market | Florida | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Super Bowl Odds 2026NFL · 32 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Jacksonville Jaguars 6th of 32Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23rdMiami Dolphins 31st | 7%+1329 | — | San Francisco 49ers 13%32 outcomes | Kalshi 182M contracts · Polymarket $68M | Mar 30, 2027 |
| Florida World Series Odds 2026MLB · 30 outcomes · Kalshi · 2 venues | Tampa Bay Rays 2nd of 30Miami Marlins 19th | 23%+335 | up 7 points over 24h | Milwaukee Brewers 64%30 outcomes | Kalshi 130M contracts · Polymarket $45M | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Florida NBA Finals Odds 2027NBA · 30 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Miami Heat 7th of 30Orlando Magic 18th | 4%+2400 | down 1 points over 24h | San Antonio Spurs 22%30 outcomes | Kalshi 39M contracts · Polymarket $26M | Jun 30, 2027 |
| Florida College Football Championship Odds 2026NCAAF · 52 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues |  Miami 3rd of 52 Florida 12th Florida State 35th | 15%+567 | — | Georgia 16%52 outcomes | Kalshi 61M contracts · Polymarket $1.1M | Jan 25, 2027 |
| Florida AFC Championship Odds 2026NFL · 16 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Jacksonville Jaguars 4th of 16Miami Dolphins 15th | 13%+669 | down 1 points over 24h | Buffalo Bills 20%16 outcomes | Kalshi 12M contracts · Polymarket $3.9M | Jan 24, 2027 |
| Tampa Bay Rays ALCS Odds 2026MLB · 15 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Tampa Bay Rays 1st of 15 | 56%-127 | up 20 points over 24h | Tampa Bay Rays lead the field15 outcomes | Kalshi 11M contracts · Polymarket $4.9M | Oct 31, 2026 |
| Florida NCAA Tournament Odds 202773 outcomes · Kalshi | Duke 15%Florida 14%UConn 7% | 15%+567 | — | Duke lead the field73 outcomes | Kalshi 11M contracts | Apr 13, 2027 |
| Florida Stanley Cup Odds 2027NHL · 32 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues |  Florida Panthers 4th of 32 Tampa Bay Lightning 6th | 9%+1011 | up 1 points over 24h | Colorado Avalanche 12%32 outcomes | Kalshi 4.0M contracts · Polymarket $1.3M | Jun 30, 2027 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South Odds 2026NFL · 4 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th of 4 | 16%+525 | — | Carolina Panthers 39%4 outcomes | Kalshi 1.6M contracts · Polymarket $62K | Jan 11, 2027 |
| Florida Gators SEC Championship Odds 2026NCAAF · 16 outcomes · 1 venue | Florida 8th of 16 | 3%+3233 | — | Georgia 44%16 outcomes | Kalshi 1.6M contracts | Dec 5, 2026 |
| Miami Dolphins AFC East Odds 2026NFL · 4 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Miami Dolphins 4th of 4 | 1%+12400 | — | Buffalo Bills 65%4 outcomes | Kalshi 871K contracts · Polymarket $61K | Jan 11, 2027 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South Odds 2026NFL · 4 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Jacksonville Jaguars 1st of 4 | 75%-300 | up 3 points over 24h | Jacksonville Jaguars lead the field4 outcomes | Kalshi 784K contracts · Polymarket $40K | Jan 11, 2027 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Total Odds 2026NFL · 17 thresholds · Kalshi · 2 venues | 7+ wins line17 thresholds | 48%+108 | up 3 points over 24h | Over 6.5 wins 41% · Over 7.5 wins 32% | Kalshi 168K contracts · Polymarket $8K | Jan 18, 2027 |
No sports market in that group.
Politics
7 markets7 marketsSee all 7 politics →Florida Governor Odds 2026
Florida Senate Odds 2026
Florida 14th District Odds 2026
| Market | Florida | Price | 24h | Field | Volume | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Governor Odds 2026Statewide · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 80%No 19% | 80%-400 | up 1 points over 24h | No 19% | Kalshi 3.4M contracts · Polymarket $304K | — |
| Florida Senate Odds 2026Statewide · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 91%No 9% | 91%-1011 | — | No 9% | Kalshi 1.5M contracts · Polymarket $232K | — |
| Florida 14th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Democratic Party 70%No 31% | 70%-233 | down 2 points over 24h | No 31% | Kalshi 301K contracts · Polymarket $69K | — |
| Florida 22nd District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Democratic Party 55%No 45% | 55%-122 | — | No 45% | Kalshi 134K contracts · Polymarket $55K | — |
| Florida 27th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 67%No 33% | 67%-203 | up 1 points over 24h | No 33% | Kalshi 112K contracts · Polymarket $39K | — |
| Florida 9th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 70%No 29% | 70%-233 | — | No 29% | Kalshi 94K contracts · Polymarket $25K | — |
| Florida 7th District Odds 2026U.S. House · 2 outcomes · Polymarket · 2 venues | Republican Party 68%No 32% | 68%-213 | down 1 points over 24h | No 32% | Kalshi 72K contracts · Polymarket $34K | — |
No politics market in that group.
Movers
Biggest moves in 24h- Tampa Bay Rays ALCS Odds 2026Tampa Bay Raysup 20 points over 24h56%-127
- Florida World Series Odds 2026Tampa Bay Raysup 7 points over 24h23%+335
- Jacksonville Jaguars AFC South Odds 2026Jacksonville Jaguarsup 3 points over 24h75%-300
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Total Odds 20267+ winsup 3 points over 24h48%+108
- Florida 14th District Odds 2026Democratic Partydown 2 points over 24h70%-233
- Florida Super Bowl Odds 2026Jacksonville Jaguarsheld within a point over 24h7%+1329
Top Florida Prediction Markets
The catalog sorts by lifetime trading, so the order holds from one visit to the next, and choosing politics or sports keeps that order within the category. The biggest contracts by trading on both venues are league-wide title fields with a Florida line in them: the Super Bowl, where the Jaguars, Buccaneers and Dolphins are three of the league's clubs, the World Series and the American League pennant for the Rays, the NBA Finals for the Heat and Magic, the Stanley Cup for the Panthers and Lightning, and the college football championship for Miami, Florida and Florida State. Of the questions only Florida votes on, the governor's race has drawn the most trading on both Kalshi and Polymarket, ahead of the U.S. Senate special election, and the 14th District leads the House seats on both.
What Moves Florida Prediction Markets
Two calendars drive the catalog. The election one closes on November 3, 2026, after early voting from October 24 to 31, and a mailed ballot must reach the county Supervisor of Elections by 7 p.m. local time that night, with a 10-day extension for overseas voters only. The Elections Canvassing Commission certifies the official returns by 8 a.m. on November 17, and each political contract then waits on the call, the certification or the swearing-in its rules name. The sports calendar runs into 2027. The World Series opens October 23, 2026. The NFL regular season ends January 10, 2027, settling the AFC South, AFC East and NFC South races and the Buccaneers' win total; the AFC title game follows January 31 and Super Bowl LXI February 14. The college football final is January 25 in Las Vegas.
Why Florida Prediction Markets
Each contract pays a fixed amount when its question resolves Yes, so the price works as the probability traders attach to that outcome, and it changes the moment they learn something instead of waiting for the next poll or ranking. Kalshi and Polymarket price most of the Florida contracts here; Kalshi alone lists the Gators' SEC title, and that page says so. When both exchanges quote a line, the figure printed is the lower Yes price, with its exchange named beside it and never blended with the other. The two also settle on different tests: Kalshi pays the governor's race on the party of the governor inaugurated, while Polymarket waits for the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC to call it. Every page states its rule before its price, and nothing in the catalog leans toward an outcome or an exchange.
Questions readers ask
How do Florida prediction markets work?
Each contract asks a yes-or-no question, such as whether the Republican Party wins Florida's governor's race on November 3, 2026, and pays a fixed amount if the answer is Yes. The price traders pay for that payout reads as a probability, and it moves with every trade on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Which Florida subjects have prediction markets?
In politics, the governor's race, the U.S. Senate special election and Florida's House seats on November 3, 2026. In sports, the Jaguars, Buccaneers, Dolphins, Rays, Heat, Magic, Panthers and Lightning, and Miami, Florida and Florida State football, through title, division and season contracts.
How do Florida prediction markets settle?
On the source each exchange names: the party of the officeholder inaugurated or sworn in, or a media call, for the November 3, 2026 races, and the league's official result for club contracts, such as Super Bowl LXI on February 14, 2027.
Where can I trade Florida prediction markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket list most of the Florida contracts covered here, and Kalshi alone lists the Florida Gators' SEC championship contract. Florida Predictions shows their prices, takes no orders and favors neither exchange.
Are prediction markets legal in Florida?
Florida Predictions keeps a legal status page that reports, with dates, what the Florida Gaming Control Commission, the Attorney General and the courts have filed or ordered about prediction-market exchanges. It draws no conclusion beyond those documents and is not legal advice.