Miami Dolphins Prediction Markets & 2026 NFL Odds

Miami Dolphins 2026 AFC East odds

Miami Dolphins prediction markets center on the AFC East, a contract that pays on the club named division champion when the 2026 regular season ends on January 10, 2027. Kalshi splits it into four mutually exclusive club contracts; Miami's pays Yes only if the Dolphins win the division, carries an expected expiration of January 11, 2027 and a latest date of January 25, and names the league as its settlement source. Polymarket's AFC East event settles on the declared champion and runs the NFL's tiebreak procedure when clubs finish level. The Miami Dolphins AFC East market lays out both venues' terms. On October 16, 2026 both venues priced Miami last of the four clubs, and the live board above carries the current figure.

The Dolphins sit on two longer boards as well. The Florida AFC Championship market settles on the conference title game set for January 31, 2027, and the Florida Super Bowl market settles on Super Bowl LXI, scheduled for February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Kalshi and Polymarket list Miami on all three.

The AFC East picture

Buffalo led the AFC East at 4-1 through October 16, 2026, a game ahead of New England at 3-2 and two ahead of the New York Jets at 2-3. Miami was 0-5 and four games back. Its scoring margin of minus 62, from 70 points scored and 132 allowed, was the worst in the NFL, and ESPN's AFC order placed the Dolphins 14th of 16. Not one of Miami's six division games has been played, so the gap to Buffalo has been built entirely against clubs outside the AFC East.

What has moved the Miami Dolphins market

The losses came in a steady line. Miami opened 27-13 at Las Vegas on September 13 and lost 35-13 at San Francisco on September 20. On September 27 Kansas City won 24-10 at Hard Rock Stadium, and the game cost the Dolphins De'Von Achane: ESPN's injury report lists an ACL tear in his left knee, a move to injured reserve on September 28 and no return in 2026. A 15-10 loss at Minnesota on October 4 and a 31-24 home loss to Cincinnati on October 11 followed.

What holds a Miami line on the division board at all is the calendar. All six AFC East games are still to come, starting at the Jets on October 25, and two of them are against Buffalo, at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York on November 22 and at Hard Rock Stadium on January 3, 2027.

Where the Miami Dolphins play

Hard Rock Stadium is in Miami Gardens, not in the city of Miami, and it holds eight of the Dolphins' 17 regular-season games on ESPN's 2026 schedule. Six of the remaining twelve are there, beginning with New England on November 1. The stadium is also the home field of the Miami Hurricanes, and on January 14, 2027 it hosts the College Football Playoff semifinal at the Orange Bowl. Miami's first division trip goes north to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, for the Jets game on October 25.

When the Miami Dolphins market resolves

The Dolphins finish the regular season at New England's Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts on January 10, 2027. Kalshi's AFC East contracts are expected to expire the next day, January 11, and no later than January 25; Polymarket moves its event to Other only if the season is canceled, pushed past 11:59 PM ET on January 17, 2027 or ends with no declared champion. The AFC Championship follows on January 31 and Super Bowl LXI on February 14, 2027, and on those boards Polymarket turns a club to No as soon as it can no longer win. This page stays up after each contract settles, and the market pages record the outcome.